Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Fed's Bernanke-audit would hurt economic prospects

Dec 1, 2009
U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said last Friday congressional proposals to audit the Fed and strip it of regulatory powers as part of post-crisis reforms could damage prospects for economic and financial health in the future.

"These measures are very much out of step with the global consensus on the appropriate role of central banks, and they would seriously impair the prospects for economic and financial stability in the United States," Bernanke wrote in a column posted on the Washington Post's website.

The rare newspaper column by a Fed chairman comes shortly before Bernanke testifies before a Senate panel on his renomination to serve a second four-year term at the helm of the central bank and answers a series of steps on Capitol Hill that could diminish the central bank's role.

Lawmakers are angry with the Fed over its emergency bailouts of major financial firms and its failure to prevent the contagion of mortgage delinquencies that crashed the financial system. A proposal to audit the Fed's monetary policy deliberations won a committee vote recently over the objections of House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank.

Frank's Senate counterpart, Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd, is himself the author of a proposal to consign the Fed solely to making decisions about setting benchmark interest rates.

Bernanke, in his column, conceded the Fed had missed some of the riskiest behavior in the lead up to the crisis. But he said the Fed had helped avoid an even more damaging economic meltdown and has stepped up its policing of the financial system.

"The Fed played a major part in arresting the crisis, and we should be seeking to preserve, not degrade, the institution's ability to foster financial stability and to promote economic recovery without inflation," he said.

Bernanke acknowledged that lawmakers are responding to public anger over the government's response to the turmoil.

"The Federal Reserve, like other regulators around the world, did not do all that it could have to constrain excessive risk-taking in the financial sector in the period leading up to the crisis," he said.

However, the central bank has moved "aggressively" to fix the problems, Bernanke said. The Fed's knowledge of complex financial institutions is invaluable in supervising them, he said.

The Fed's ability to slash interest rates to combat a recession without fueling inflation depends on its political independence he said. Allowing audits of its monetary policy -- as proposed legislation would do -- would increase the perceived influence of Congress on interest rate decisions, he said.

That, in turn "would undermine the confidence the public and the markets have in the Fed to act in the long-term economic interest of the nation," Bernanke wrote.
Frank has said the audit provision is likely to be revisited as legislation winds through both houses of Congress.

Dodd has said his proposal is a starting point for debate.

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Black Friday sales edge up

Dec 1, 2009
SHOPPERS spent only slightly more in stores in the United States on Black Friday - the traditional post-Thanksgiving Day shopping spree - than they did last year, according to data released on Saturday by a national research firm.

Preliminary sales data from ShopperTrak RCT Corp show shoppers spent US$10.66 billion on the day after Thanksgiving - only 0.5 percent more than last year.

At the same time, other research showed fresh signs of much stronger online sales during the traditional start of the holiday shopping season, which may mean more consumers shopped from home.

Still, more than a year after the economy's collapse began rattling shoppers, industry observers said Friday's shopping sprees offered a strong start to the holiday season as large crowds of shoppers snatched up early morning deals.

"I know what they want, but I've been looking for a deal to make sure I get a good price," Jude Leeper, 49, of Hanover, Pennsylvania, said as she shopped for gifts for family members last Friday at a Maryland mall. "I'm going to buy that gift that I know is going to get used, not stuffed in a closet."

The traditional shopping spree - dubbed Black Friday because it often was the day when a surge of shoppers helped stores break into profitability for the full year - has marked the kickoff of holiday shopping for many consumers. But its importance has faded in recent years as merchants started hawking the deep sales and expanded hours usually reserved for that day well in advance.

Still, the day is often used as an important gauge of people's willingness to spend during the holidays.

This year, many of the in-store deals were also available online, causing some Websites to overload as pajama-clad shoppers tried to get deals without waiting in long lines in the cold.

Web marketing analyst Coremetrics said its data showed the average amount online shoppers spent on Black Friday rose 35 percent as shoppers spent roughly US$170.19 per order - up from US$126.04 last year.

The firm said Web shoppers also bought more items with each purchase.

Shop-by-television sales were also strong at the TV shopping network QVC, which said its Black Friday sales totaled US$32 million - up almost 60 percent from last year.

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